November 7, 2016

High Risk and Low Conviction

John P. Hussman, Ph.D.

Since everyone is probably drowning in pre-election opinions, I decided that a brief comment focused on key considerations might be welcome. While the extent of the market retreat from the August peak has been quite shallow, a variety of short-term technical indicators appear “oversold” because the recent decline has breached the narrow trading range that has prevailed in recent months.

From a cyclical perspective, however, the most historically reliable market valuation measures remain so extreme that a 40-55% loss in the S&P 500 would be only historically run-of-the-mill completion of this market cycle.

DYI Comment:  Below is DYI's model portfolio it speaks for itself! 

Updated Monthly

AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO - ACTIVE ALLOCATION - 11/1/16

Active Allocation Bands (excluding cash) 0% to 60%

85% - Cash -Short Term Bond Index - VBIRX

15% -Gold- Precious Metals & Mining - VGPMX

 0% -Lt. Bonds- Long Term Bond Index - VBLTX

 0% -Stocks- Total Stock Market Index - VTSAX

[See Disclaimer]

 This blog site is not a registered financial advisor, broker or securities dealer and The Dividend Yield Investor is not responsible for what you do with your money.

This site strives for the highest standards of accuracy; however ERRORS AND OMISSIONS ARE ACCEPTED!

The Dividend Yield Investor is a blog site for entertainment and educational purposes ONLY.

The Dividend Yield Investor shall not be held liable for any loss and/or damages from the information herein.

Use this site at your own risk.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS.