Reading Assignments:

STOCKS

Warning: That plunge in stocks is just the beginning

Investors brace for the return of volatility

This Time Is Not Different: Why The Market Is Heading For A Fall

by David Stockman • July 23, 2014

Consensus Building for 2016 Stock Market Bubble, Crash

July 25, 2014

by Cris Sheridan

August 1914: When Global Stock Markets Closed

July 31, 2014

by Bryan Taylor

WAR

China says can build what it wants on South China Sea isles

SAVING MONEY

10 Tips to Save Money When Buying Good Wine

DYI

Quotes

Social Security operates on a simple principal: "You give your money to politicians and they squander it on something else!"

Harry Browne

Fail-Safe Investing

"The only way to "Beat an Index" is to invest in a different and significantly greater - undervalued index."

The Dividend Yield Investor

"Men, it has been said, think in herds; it will be seen they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one."

Charles Mackay

Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds

"Outright speculation is neither illegal, immoral, nor (for most people) fattening to the pocketbook."

Benjamin Graham

The Intelligent Investor

Estimated 10yr return on Stocks

Using 5.4% as the historical growth rate of dividends and 4.0% as the ending yield.

Starting Yield*---------return**
1.0%-----------------------(-5.7%)
1.5%-----------------------(-1.7%)
2.0%------------------------1.3%
2.5%------------------------3.8%

3.0%------------------------5.9%
3.5%------------------------7.8%
4.0%------------------------9.4%
4.5%-----------------------10.9%

5.0%-----------------------12.3%
5.5%-----------------------13.6%
6.0%-----------------------14.8%
6.5%-----------------------15.9%

7.0%-----------------------17.0%
7.5%-----------------------18.0%
8.0%-----------------------19.0%

*Starting dividend yield of the S&P500-**10yr estimated average annual rate of return.

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Thursday, August 7, 2014