Globalization’s
Sinking Ship
Gold's $1,500 level is 'looking like the new 2020 floor' - Scotiabank
“$1450 was the new hard floor but gold is now firmly in a spot where the risk/reward in being directionally short is not favorable -- $1500 is increasingly looking like the new 2020 floor…,” wrote Scotiabank commodity strategist Nicky Shiels last week.
For two generations, globalization and financialization have been the two engines of global growth and soaring assets. Globalization can mean many things, but its beating heart is the arbitraging of the labor of the powerless, and commodity, environmental and tax costs by the powerful to increase their profits and wealth.
In other words, globalization is the result of those at the top of the wealth-power pyramid shifting capital around the world to exploit lower costs of labor, commodities, environmental regulations and taxes.
As a result, the global economy and financial system are both running on the last toxic fumes of financialization and globalization, the final extremes of exploitation and predation as the pack of predators has exploded in size and influence while the herd of prey has been decimated.
The prey always seem limitless to the predators, but this illusion expires when suddenly there is no longer enough for the ravenous pack of financial predators.
At that point, the predators turn on each other.
That is the narrative that will come to the fore in 2020 and play out in the decade ahead.
DYI:
When
the predators begin to turn on each other through nasty mergers and
acquisitions that in turn will fail fighting over the remaining scrapes of the
hollowed out middle class gold and silver will move up in price to reflect this
new decade long dislocation. Stocks and corporate bonds will fall in value in a
multiple cyclical manner. U.S.
government bills, notes and bonds will decline as well in a long drawn out saw
tooth manner as the Federal Reserve fights this inevitable decline. There is a possible one last hurrah left for
declining rates breaking the 10 year T-bond yield of 1.37% [July 8, 2016] when
our next recession arrives. However that
is speculation as rates are now so low relative to their historical mean.
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