Monday, August 10, 2020

US Dollar Devalues by 99%

 2020 American Eagle 1 oz Gold Coin BU - Provident Metals

US Dollar Devalues by 99% vs Gold in 100 Years—Gold Price Crosses $2,067

US Dollar Devalues by 99% vs Gold in 100 Years—Gold Price Crosses ...

Gold doesn’t yield, if you don’t lend it, but it's the only globally accepted financial asset without counterparty risk. Because of its immutable properties gold sustained its role as the sun in our monetary cosmos after the gold standard was abandoned in 1971. Central banks around the world kept holding on to their gold, despite its price reaching all-time highs such as now. This is due to Gresham’s law, which states “bad money drives out good.” If the price of gold rises central banks are more inclined to hoard gold (good money) and spend currency that declines in value (bad money).

U.S. Dollar Devalues By 99% Vs. Gold In 100 Years - Gold Price ...

You might think that dollars with interest, for example U.S. government bonds (Treasuries), would have outperformed gold since the gold standard was abandoned in 1971. But this isn't true. Gold has performed better than Treasuries.

From High to Low - Since Year 2000

+ 577.8% Gold
235.7% Transports
193.2% Utilities
164.1% Nasdaq
129.9% Dow
+ 122.6S&P 500
+  81.6% 30yr Treasury Bonds
+  72.6% Swiss Franc's
+  57.3% Oil 

DYI:  These long term charts are very illustrative and instructive whether it is gold or any other assets.  The biggest drawback we are mere mortals with limited financial time periods “to put it all together!”  All asset categories over shorter time periods will run either hot or cold knowing their respective valuation will tip you off when the next change in season will occur.  Always remember madness of crowds can and do very often last far longer – [whether hot or cold] – than we think possible!  We are living through such a time period today with stocks and bond prices elevated to the heavens.  Stocks and bonds are massively overvalued thus making a shift back to the cold reaches of our beloved bear; but when is the question? 

This brings to mind the most revered and yet forgotten financial proverb(s) of all time.  Proverb #1:  Don’t lose money.  Proverb #2:  Don’t forget proverb #1!

This is not the time to through caution to the wind by loading up on stocks and bonds.  As historical driven valuation(s) investors – [as opposed to speculators] – will look to other asset categories for the next bull market.  DYI works through three primary assets.  These assets are:  Stocks, long term bonds, gold/silver along with their respective mining company shares.  Cash – [short term bills/notes] – is our bull pen waiting while earning a few bucks for valuations to justify purchase of one of the three assets just mentioned.

Updated Monthly

AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO - ACTIVE ALLOCATION - 8/1/20

Active Allocation Bands (excluding cash) 0% to 50%
65% - Cash -Short Term Bond Index - VBIRX
35% -Gold- Global Capital Cycles Fund - VGPMX **
 0% -Lt. Bonds- Long Term Bond Index - VBLTX
 0% -Stocks- Total Stock Market Index - VTSAX
[See Disclaimer]
** Vanguard's Global Capital Cycles Fund maintains 25%+ in precious metal equities the remainder are domestic or international companies they believe will perform well during times of world wide stress or economic declines.  

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PAST PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

DYI

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