Be Sure
To Know
the Difference
Your Life
Will Depend On It!
Flu Bird Flu
Fever Fever
Aches Aches
Chills Chills
Fatigue Fatigue
Nausea Nausea
Stuffy Nose Stuffy
Nose
Formula Based Asset Allocation*** STOCKS *** BONDS *** GOLD *** CASH................................ GeoPolitics/Economics...Removing Theory from Conspiracies
Best Time
To Buy a
House?
When Cost
is Below Rents!
DYI: The obvious downside is that you will
have to wait years before your next opportunity and yet there is the upside for
having a greater down payment, basic savings, along with additional dollars for
retirement since your outlay is less by renting (see chart below).
In my opinion homes purchased today will underperform inflation for the
next 20 years. The house will increase
in price but when you factor inflation when selling, the gain will have a
reduced purchasing power.
Putting some numbers to the equation the gain is 1% to 2% per year on average for the house with inflation on average over the next 20 years at 5%. Doesn’t take a math genius to figure out that home owner is on the losing end.
Rents will go up in cost and yet it will take years (most likely 10 to 15 years) before they catch up to a purchase price of the home. Remember a landlord can only charge what the traffic will bear therefore impossible to arbitrary raise rents unless willing to have numerous units vacant (losing money) in the case of an apartment complex or a house sit idle (losing money again) waiting for the next tenant.
Since the year 2000 a housing crash was required to bring down costs below rents and most likely will be required again for homeownership below cost.
U.S.
Stocks
Massively Overvalued!
Home
Ownership
Joy or Money Pit?
The six main cost pillars of home ownership are:
Upfront costs: These include the ongoing mortgage payment, down payment,
closing costs, and moving costs.
Ongoing costs: These include property taxes, insurance, and maintenance.
Utilities: Homeowners are responsible for utilities like water, sewer,
electricity, internet, and cable.
Homeowner's association (HOA) fees: If the home is part of an HOA,
homeowners must pay a monthly or quarterly fee to maintain the community's
amenities.
Repairs and maintenance: Homeowners are responsible for routine
maintenance and repairs, such as lawn care, pest control, plumbing repairs, roof replacement, and
appliance replacement.
Furnishings: Homeowners may need to purchase new furnishings, especially
if they are moving into a larger home.
Inflation
The
Killer of Wealth
Since the
Year 2000
Purchasing
Power has Decline
By
-43%
Healthcare
CEO's Murder
Is
Another
Fake
By
First published December
5, 2024
I hate to be the bearer
of bad tidings, but that asshole is still alive somewhere, probably on some
island beach. I knew it the moment I saw this story. How? You are about to find
out.
The first clue is that
police released footage immediately to the press, so I knew the police and
press were in on the fake. If this were real they wouldn't be airing it to the public
within hours. It would be considered a snuff film.
The second clue is that
CEOs of big healthcare companies like this are not walking around by themselves
on the streets of Manhattan at night. Precisely for this reason. You will say
this was in the morning, but we can see from footage it was still dark (about
half an hour before sunrise). Tony Fauci and Albert Bourla are known to have heavy
security, and we may assume the same for Brian Thompson.
The third clue is that
the film looks fake. The guy playing Thompson is a bad actor and his reactions are
comical. Plus, notice what no one else has: the SUV right there hits its brake
lights and leaves them on right as the film starts. What does that mean? It
means AAAANNNDD. . . ACTION!
The fourth clue is that
it is convenient, isn't it, that this murder just happened to take place right
beneath a street camera aimed directly at the scene, with our boys center of frame. Front and center, but from the back, so we can't identify Thompson.
The fifth clue is the
photos released the next day of the shooter. No way they would have multiple photos
of this guy with his mask down and smiling. What's the point of a hoodie and
mask if you are going to walk around posing for the cameras with them off?
The sixth clue is the
cutesy messages on the shell casings: DENY DEFEND DEPOSE. Just stinks of Langley,
doesn't it? These effin' script-monkeys don't know when to stop.
The seventh clue is
ex-New York Times crazy cunt Taylor Lorenz coming down on the side of revolutionaries
here, saying Thompson had it coming. Sure he did, but that isn't the weird
thing in this case. The weird thing is that Lorenz is saying it. She's crazy,
yes, but anyone would expect her to be crazy in the opposite pasture here. So
her comments also look scripted, indicating to me she has been paid to make the
event look real. If she has to do that by celebrating the fake death, well
OK. Sometimes that is the best way to
sell an event, you know.
The eighth clue is
social media being inundated with a million influencers and commenters, all
selling this as real. The usual agents crawl out of the woodwork immediately to
shove this story down your throat.
But the ninth clue is
the decider: today it was reported that Thompson was under investigation by the
Justice Department for insider trading, monopolistic practices, and possible
racketeering. So just when he needed to disappear, he did. Just a whacky
coincidence, I'm sure.
More to come, no doubt,
as they catch this actor and try him in a dummy court, to properly salt this
in.
What do you want to bet
it will be a bench trial with a deputy DA prosecuting him?
Thank You
Miles Mathis
Stocks
Overvalued?
Warren
Buffett Agrees!
Cash is king for Warren Buffett. His investment vehicle, Berkshire Hathaway, continued to dump its two biggest stock holdings in Q3, Apple and Bank of America. It was a net-seller of stocks for the eighth quarter in a row, selling $36.1 billion of stocks, and buying only $1.5 billion, for net sales of $34.5 billion. It didn’t buy back any of its own shares. And it further increased its already huge pile of cash, particularly its Treasury bills, according to Berkshire’s Q3 earnings report released on Saturday.
In the quarter through September 30, Berkshire Hathaway piled on an additional $48 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and Treasury bills, bringing the total cash pile to $325 billion, nearly double where it had been a year ago.
DYI: Warren Buffett is simply responding to
the massive historical overvaluation of the stock market in general and
reducing significantly his exposure to any of the high flying technology companies.
DYI is an offshoot to Harry Browne’s permanent portfolio that maintains 25%
at all time in Stocks, Lt. Bonds, Gold, and Cash equivalents. I adjust the exposure based on how far above
or below the mean valuation for Stocks, Lt. Bonds, and Gold anywhere from 0% to
50%. Cash equivalents are my default
position ranging from 0% to 100%. My
adjustment is based simply using a formula that increases or decreases the
percentage held depending on how deep or steep those three assets are away from
their mean. Today and for a very long time stocks are outrageously
overvalued!
Expected Net Worth
--As the stock market becomes more expensive, a conservative investor's stock allocation should go down. The rationale recognizes the reduced expected future returns for stocks, and the increasing risk.
--The formula acknowledges the increased likelihood of the market falling from current levels based on historical valuation levels and regression to the mean, rather than from volatility. Many agree this is the key to value investing.
Desperation
Or
Poor Money Skills?
DYI: The top 10% who own the vast majority of stocks their gains is easily offsetting the current rate of inflation, however as you move down the percentages of stock ownership and especially the bottom 50% inflation has scorched the family budget. Most of those who actually do own stocks they are tied up in their 401k’s unless they borrow or outright sell (with all of the associated penalties) their flat out of luck.
The top 10% who collect roughly half the income and own over 90% of all stocks own 44% of the nation's real estate wealth. The bottom 50% who own a meager 2.6% of the nation's financial wealth own a scant 11% of the real estate wealth. The middle class--the 40% between 50% and 90%--own about the same percentage (45%) as the top 10%.