The chart below is to shed light where these asset categories are regarding valuations driven investor’s perceived sentiment.
Assets that are currently undervalued that DYI follows is silver bullion and short term bills/notes both continue to be unloved assets by investing professionals and the public at large. Only recently with interest rates rising has bills/notes moved off from the sentiment indicator at Max-Pessimism to Market Returns to Mean. Despite this move they’re still seen as an underperforming asset to be avoided.
Silver as compared to his big cousin gold is lagging in performance with the lopsided gold to silver ratio at staggering 92 to 1! This favors silver over gold significantly for when this ratio normalizes silver will leap in price; however when this will occur I have no idea – [nor does anyone else if they are honest!]
Investors especially the investing public remain favorable to gold bullion – [and rarely if ever think about silver] as a hedge against inflation, U.S. and world turmoil and severe economic downturns. Gold prices are neither overblown nor undervalued, investors need to wait to purchase on the dips – [hopefully at a lower price].
Three assets have been
in the Sells the Rallies category for a very long time as our Federal Reserve
and major Federal and State fiscal pump priming has moved to the point of
insanity distorting to a severe degree their actual market prices. As stated before only recently interest rates
have risen knocking the socks off of long term bond values – [those purchases
at the very top dropping prices close to 50%!].
One way or another as the expression goes this will end and end very
badly those holding stocks, long dated bonds and residential real estate.**
**I’m not talking about
your primary residence but additional properties such as a vacation home and/or
single family rentals.
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