Inverted

Yield Curve

Recession

Indicator & Predictor

Once two year Treasury notes interest rate is greater than the ten year Treasury bonds and when the inversion ends a recession arrives very soon!

The U.S. economy is not there yet as July 19, 2024 two year T-notes were 4.49% with the 10 year T-bond lower at 4.25%.  DYI is on alert waiting for the inversion to end signaling  economic storm clouds rolling in soon.