Dividend Yield Investor!: U.S. Stock Market is Now Significantly above it's 15 Year Moving Average. Poor returns will Follow.

Sunday, March 2, 2014

U.S. Stock Market is Now Significantly above it's 15 Year Moving Average. Poor returns will Follow.

Yes, You Can Time The Market

DYI Comments: Its a bird, no its a plane, no its a runaway overvalued, over bullish, stock market.

DYI

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Quotes

Social Security operates on a simple principal: "You give your money to politicians and they squander it on something else!"

Harry Browne

Fail-Safe Investing

"The only way to "Beat an Index" is to invest in a different and significantly greater - undervalued index."

The Dividend Yield Investor

"Men, it has been said, think in herds; it will be seen they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one."

Charles Mackay

Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds

"Outright speculation is neither illegal, immoral, nor (for most people) fattening to the pocketbook."

Benjamin Graham

The Intelligent Investor

Estimated 10yr return on Stocks

Using 5.4% as the historical growth rate of dividends and 4.0% as the ending yield.

Starting Yield*---------return**
1.0%-----------------------(-5.7%)
1.5%-----------------------(-1.7%)
2.0%------------------------1.3%
2.5%------------------------3.8%

3.0%------------------------5.9%
3.5%------------------------7.8%
4.0%------------------------9.4%
4.5%-----------------------10.9%

5.0%-----------------------12.3%
5.5%-----------------------13.6%
6.0%-----------------------14.8%
6.5%-----------------------15.9%

7.0%-----------------------17.0%
7.5%-----------------------18.0%
8.0%-----------------------19.0%

*Starting dividend yield of the S&P500-**10yr estimated average annual rate of return.

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Dividend Yield Investor!

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Sunday, March 2, 2014

U.S. Stock Market is Now Significantly above it's 15 Year Moving Average. Poor returns will Follow.

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