Wednesday, August 1, 2018

8-1-18
Updated Monthly

Secular Market Top - Since January 2000

+121.1% Dow       
+272.1% Transports 
+155.6% Utilities

+91.7%  S&P 500
+88.5%  Nasdaq

+52.5%  30yr Treasury Bond

+326.0% Gold
+168.6% Oil
 +59.8% Swiss Franc's
    
From High to Low

+326.0% Gold
+272.1% Transports
+158.6% Oil
+155.6% Utilities
+121.1% Dow 
+ 91.7% S&P 500 
+ 88.5% Nasdaq  
+ 59.8% Swiss Franc's
+ 52.5% 30yr Treasury Bonds

December 1999 Shiller PE10 was 44.19               
August 2000 S&P 500 dividend yield was 1.11%  

Shiller PE10 8-01-18 is 32.75
S&P 500 dividend yield 8-01-18 is 1.81%
[Shiller PE10 & dividend yield is reported using data from the beginning of the month when I update.  It may or may not be exactly the first day.]

It is easily seen in the year 2000 the Nasdaq was horribly overvalued and gold was on the give away table, such lopsided returns 18 years later!

DYI

No comments:

Post a Comment