Friday, July 10, 2026

 Bubble

News!

No matter how anyone measures the U.S. stock market it remains massively overvalued!


Possible returns going forward:  Monies invested today in stocks or held from previous purchase – go to sleep like Rip Van Winkle – waking 10 years from here is your estimated averaged annual return.

Estimated 10yr return on Stocks

5.4% as the historical growth rate of dividends and 4.0% as the ending yield.

Starting Yield*---------return**

1.0%-----------------------(-5.7%) You are here!

1.5%-----------------------(-1.7%)

2.0%------------------------1.3%

2.5%------------------------3.8%

 

3.0%------------------------5.9%

3.5%------------------------7.8%

4.0%------------------------9.4%

4.5%-----------------------10.9%

 

5.0%-----------------------12.3%

5.5%-----------------------13.6%

6.0%-----------------------14.8%

6.5%-----------------------15.9%

 

7.0%-----------------------17.0%

7.5%-----------------------18.0%

8.0%-----------------------19.0%

 

*Starting dividend yield of the S&P 500

**10yr estimated average annual rate of return.

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PAST PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

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