Sunday, March 31, 2019

U.S. Stock Market
Remains in a Bubble
DYI:  Below is DYI’s aggressive model portfolio is spin off of Harry Browne’s Permanent Portfolio fixed 25% in each asset category.  All I’ve done is used our valuation averaging formula to our three uncorrelated assets – stocks, Long term bonds, and gold with cash being our default asset and yet remains somewhat conservative by only going up to a maximum of 50% in each asset except for cash.
 
DYI’s premise is with such diverse categories over broad periods of time there will be a bull market for at least one if not two assets and significantly less loss for those that are overvalued.  Reasonable growth with excellent downside protection alongside our goal of outperforming Harry Browne’s Permanent Portfolio concept of fixed asset categories.  It is DYI’s goal as well to capture 75% plus of the S&P 500 return over broad periods of time with significantly less downside volatility.   

Updated Monthly

AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO - ACTIVE ALLOCATION - 04/1/19

Active Allocation Bands (excluding cash) 0% to 50%
66% - Cash -Short Term Bond Index - VBIRX
34% -Gold- Global Capital Cycles Fund - VGPMX
 0% -Lt. Bonds- Long Term Bond Index - VBLTX
 0% -Stocks- Total Stock Market Index - VTSAX
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