Tuesday, January 3, 2017

DYI's new Gold Indicator for allocating between Short or Long Term Bonds on a Cyclical Basis.

1-03-17
Updated Monthly
Gold Prices
1-02-16 $1075.05
1-02-17 $1147.60
Up 7% (rounded)

Current Allocation - Short Term Bonds

Allocating between short term bonds
 & 
ultra long term bonds 

Every month DYI will look back to gold prices from one year ago as compared to current prices.  Simply when gold prices are below from one year ago deflationary forces are at work. The most common reason a recession is coming and with it declining interest rates at least in the short term as the demand for money cools off.  

Conversely if gold prices are higher than a year ago inflationary forces are at work.  The most common is a growing economy which will soon push rates higher at least in the short term.

This is a cyclical measure for allocating between short or long bonds as opposed to secular[very long term] moves in the markets.

When gold prices decline from one year ago - Buy Long Term Bonds

When gold prices increase form one year ago - Buy Short Dated Bonds

Disclaimer

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This site strives for the highest standards of accuracy; however ERRORS AND OMISSIONS ARE ACCEPTED!
The Dividend Yield Investor is a blog site for entertainment and educational purposes ONLY.
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Use this site at your own risk.

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