For Caterpillar, The Depression Just Turned Three: CAT Hasn't Had A Sales Increase In 36 Consecutive Months

Earlier today Caterpillar reported its latest monthly retail sales statistics, and the numbers continue their deplorable trend: 

Asia/Pacific (mostly China) was down -17%,EAME dropping -5%, Latin America down -37%, the US down -5%. 

Global sales continuing their double digit decline for one more month down -11% in November.

DYI Comments:  The world economy is slowing down and is dancing on a pin from going into a world wide recession.  U.S. stock and bond (especially junk) are horribly overvalued.  The only reason prices continue to be elevated is the declining price of oil that has put a bit of zip into the U.S. economy keeping it from going straight back into recession.  Nevertheless with valuations elevated to the extreme any economic mishap will change market participants perception to a risk off mentality. Dropping markets irregardless of current oil prices.

DYI's model portfolio remains extremely conservative due to massive overvaluation.

 Updated Monthly

AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO - ACTIVE ALLOCATION -  12/1/15

Active Allocation Bands (excluding cash) 0% to 60%

78% - Cash -Short Term Bond Index - VBIRX

22% -Gold- Precious Metals & Mining - VGPMX

 0% -Lt. Bonds- Long Term Bond Index - VBLTX

 0% -Stocks- Total Stock Market Index - VTSAX

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