Tuesday, July 3, 2018

7-1-18
Updated Monthly

Secular Market Top - Since January 2000

+111.1% Dow       
+247.5% Transports 
+151.1% Utilities

+85.0%  S&P 500
+84.6%  Nasdaq

+54.0%  30yr Treasury Bond

+333.2% Gold
+189.6% Oil
 +60.0% Swiss Franc's
    
From High to Low

+333.2% Gold
+247.5% Transports
+189.6% Oil
+151.1% Utilities
+111.1% Dow 
+ 85.0% S&P 500 
+ 84.6% Nasdaq  
+ 60.0% Swiss Franc's
+ 54.0% 30yr Treasury Bonds

December 1999 Shiller PE10 was 44.19               
August 2000 S&P 500 dividend yield was 1.11%  

Shiller PE10 7-01-18 is 32.40
S&P 500 dividend yield 7-01-18 is 1.83%
[Shiller PE10 & dividend yield is reported using data from the beginning of the month when I update.  It may or may not be exactly the first day.]


It is easily seen in the year 2000 the Nasdaq was horribly overvalued and gold was on the give away table, such lopsided returns 18 years later!

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