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Now It Begins---America's State Wreck Gathers Steam, Part 1
Now it begins. They bought the February 8th dip just like the previous 40 odd plungelets in the stock averages since the March 2009 bottom, expecting another ka-ching in the easy money lane of the casino.
But this time it didn't work. The market had been retreating for days and then tumbled 724 Dow points yesterday allegedly on the Donald's $50 billion tariff assault on the China trade. Not surprisingly, the overnight follow-through in Asia was downright bloody with Shanghai down 3.4%, the Nikkei lower by 4.5% and China's NASDAQ equivalent off by more than 5%.
The former always depended upon Washington based stimulus, subventions, bailouts and booty. But now having attained an asymptotic high, the Great Bubble is stranded with no Washington fixers to keep it going; instead, it is fixing to slide into a long night of deflation, disorder and decay.
That, of course, will never happen because there are trillions of dollars of assets, from Shanghai skyscrapers to Fortune 1000 stocks to the latest housing market “recovery,” artificially propped up by the Fed’s interest-rate repression. The United States is broke — fiscally, morally, intellectually — and the Fed has incited a global currency war (Japan just signed up, the Brazilians and Chinese are angry, and the German-dominated euro zone is crumbling) that will soon overwhelm it.
When the latest bubble pops, there will be nothing to stop the collapse.
If this sounds like advice to get out of the markets and hide out in cash, it is.DYI: I’ve been anticipating from peak to trough a decline of 60% to 75% for the U.S. stock market. However this may take more than one cycle to achieve before this valuation based secular decline that began in the year 2000 finally ends. When stocks finally bottom gold and silver will be soaring, Treasury interest rates will be negative [possibly as far out as the 10 year bond] with junk bonds in the cellar. To say the least for a value player will be a kid with cash to spend [he sold his gold] in a candy store picking through all of the bargains.
The Great Wait Continues….Better Values are
ahead!
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